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Sea ice regulates heat exchange between the ocean and atmosphere in Earth’s polar regions. The thermal conductivity of sea ice governs this exchange, and is a key parameter in climate modelling. However, it is challenging to measure and predict due to its sensitive dependence on temperature, salinity and brine microstructure. Moreover, as temperature increases, sea ice becomes permeable, and fluid can flow through the porous microstructure. While models for thermal diffusion through sea ice have been obtained, advective contributions to transport have not been considered theoretically. Here, we homogenize a multiscale advection–diffusion equation that models thermal transport through porous sea ice when fluid flow is present. We consider two-dimensional models of convective flow and use an integral representation to derive bounds on the thermal conductivity as a function of the Péclet number. These bounds guarantee enhancement in the thermal conductivity due to the added flow. Further, we relate the Péclet number to temperature, making these bounds useful for global climate models. Our analytic approach offers a mathematical theory which can not only improve predictions of atmosphere–ice–ocean heat exchanges in climate models, but can provide a theoretical framework for a range of problems involving advection–diffusion processes in various fields of application.more » « less
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